The Logoff is a daily newsletter that helps you stay informed about the Trump administration without letting political news take over your life. Subscribe here.Welcome to The Logoff. Today Im focused on Donald Trumps mixed messages on the fate of Medicaid, the low-income health insurance program that more than 70 million Americans depend on.Whats the latest? Trump said today that Republicans wouldnt touch Medicaid, Medicare, or Social Security in their legislation to slash taxes and government spending, but he hedged by saying they would look for fraud.Trump says a lot of things. Why does this matter now? Because House Republicans passed a bill on Tuesday that calls for $2 trillion in spending cuts over 10 years. The bill asks the committee that oversees Medicaid and Medicare to identify $880 billion in savings. Given that Medicare (health care for seniors) is politically untouchable, that sounds like a call for steep cuts to Medicaid.Why focus on fraud? Republicans have been reluctant to propose structural changes to Medicaid, as its unpopular to take away health insurance from people who need it particularly while cutting taxes for the wealthy. Instead, Trump and other top GOP officials have pledged to root out fraud. Thats more politically palatable, but the math doesnt work. Theres simply not enough fraud in the system to get anywhere near the scope of savings Republicans are looking for.Whats next? Are Medicaid cuts coming? Its way too soon to know. This House bill only sets overall numbers for tax and spending cuts. GOP lawmakers still have to craft a separate bill that lays out what specific programs should get cut. If Medicaid cuts make it into that bill, then its a sign the program is on the chopping block.But even then, it wouldnt be certain that the cuts would ever become law. Republicans have only a tiny majority in the House; they have to find something basically their entire caucus can agree on. In short, if even a handful of Republicans balk at cutting Medicaid, the low-income health insurance program could emerge unscathed.And with that, its time to log off Its 62 degrees right now in DC, so if youre there, I cannot recommend anything online thats going to match the psychic value of going outside. If the weather is not as nice where you are, my heartfelt condolences. As a consolation prize, heres a lovely essay about, well, being at peace with yourself, imperfect though we all are. Take good care today. See you back here tomorrow.See More: