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WWW.NEWSCIENTIST.COM2024 confirmed as first year to breach 1.5C warming limitThe sun sets on a hot day in London in July 2024Guy Corbishley/AlamyHopes of keeping global warming below 1.5C above pre-industrial levels have been all but extinguished after new data confirmed 2024 was the first calendar year to see average temperatures breach that critical threshold.Last year was the hottest ever recorded in human history, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) will declare later today, in the latest stark warning that humanity is pushing Earths climate into uncharted territory. AdvertisementThe average global temperature for the year exceeded 1.5C above the pre-industrial baseline for the first time, the agency will also confirm, breaching the threshold set by the Paris Agreement.The WMOs assessment is calculated using the average global temperature across six datasets, with the period of 1850 to 1900 used to provide a pre-industrial baseline. Temperature datasets collected by various agencies and institutions around the world vary slightly, mainly due to differences in how ocean temperatures have been measured and analysed over the decades. Some of those datasets will come in just below the 1.5C mark, New Scientist understands, but others are well above.The UKs Met Office weather service puts 2024s average temperature at 1.53C above pre-industrial levels, with a margin of error of 0.08C. That is 0.07C above 2023, the previous warmest year on record. Meanwhile, the European Unions climate change service Copernicus has 2024 temperatures at 1.6C above pre-industrial levels, 0.12C above 2023s record. Unmissable news about our planet delivered straight to your inbox every month.Sign up to newsletterScientists agree that the surge in temperature was caused mostly by the continuation of human-caused climate change and an El Nio weather pattern, which tends to push up global temperatures. But the scale and persistence of the heat has shocked many experts, who expected temperatures to subside once El Nio ended in May 2024. Instead, they remained at record levels throughout the rest of the year.The worlds oceans have been most affected, with sea surface temperatures staying at record levels for most of 2024, playing havoc with marine ecosystems. The year also brought no shortage of extreme weather on land, with fierce heatwaves, sharp declines in polar ice, deadly flooding and uncontrollable wildfires. This was a year when the impacts of climate change are right across the planet, says David King, former chief scientific adviser to the UK government and founder of the Climate Crisis Advisory Group.Technically, the Paris Agreement target of limiting warming to below 1.5C is calculated using a 20-year average, so a single year above the threshold doesnt signal a formal breach of the target. But given the pace of warming in recent years, many scientists say the long-term Paris goal is now out of reach.In a briefing on 9 January, Samantha Burgess at Copernicus told reporters that the Paris Agreement target was now probably impossible to achieve. Theres an extremely high likelihood that we will overshoot the long-term average of 1.5C and the Paris Agreement limit, she said.Duo Chan at the University of Southampton, UK, has helped develop a new global dataset, DCENT, which he says uses state-of-the-art technology to produce a more accurate historical baseline for warming levels. This new dataset suggests the global average temperature for 2024 was 1.66C above pre-industrial levels, he says, although it isnt included in the WMOs calculations.As a result, Chan also believes the 1.5C goal is now probably out of reach. We need to get prepared for a wider range of futures, and 1.5C is not the only target we should be aiming for, he says. But he stressed this should also be a critical moment to be more ambitious in cutting emissions. Its too early to give up, he says.The outlook for 2025 is still unclear. There are early signs that global sea surface temperatures have finally started to cool to expected levels. Thats a good sign that the heat is dissipating from the surface of the ocean at least, said Burgess.Meanwhile, after months of expectation, a La Nia phase has finally developed in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, which should dampen global temperatures into 2025.But Chan warns that the world may have experienced a step change in warming if temperatures follow the pattern of previous El Nio events. Every time that we see a large El Nio event global warming is basically brought up to a new level, he says, suggesting that 2024 could be the first of many years where average temperatures exceed 1.5C.Topics:climate change0 Reacties 0 aandelen 129 Views
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WWW.BUSINESSINSIDER.COMLatest: The Palisades and Eaton fires have devastated California and burned more than 10,000 structures. The blazes could become the state's most costly ever.Wildfires are rampaging across Los Angeles County this week.Hundreds of thousands of people are under evacuation orders or warnings.Insured losses could top $20 billion, JPMorgan analysts estimated the most-ever in California.The Los Angeles area battled a series of massive wildfires Thursday that continued to rip through its picturesque mountains and hillsides creating a hellscape of burned-out neighborhoods and livelihoods that could end up being the most costly fire disaster in California history. JPMorgan analysts said the blazes tearing through the region could lead to more than $20 billion in insured losses and around $50 billion in total economic losses. That would make these conflagrations "significantly more severe" than the Camp Fires that struck the state in 2018 and racked up $10 billion in insured losses, the current record.As of Thursday morning local time, an additional 200,000 people had been placed under evacuation warnings with officials advising them to get ready to leave their homes if the fires raging near their residences got closer.Thick bands of smoke could be seen in several directions from the city's downtown core with at least five fires burning throughout the 4,000 square-mile county that's home to nearly 10 million people.More than 29,000 acres have burned so far and at least 10 deaths have been reported as of 9 p.m. local time on Thursday.And at least 10,000 homes and other structures have been destroyed so far, per the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection. The Los Angeles downtown skyline in the distance was surrounded by smoke and haze on Thursday morning. Mario Tama/Getty Images Los Angeles District Attorney Nathan Hochman described the scene in LA as apocalyptic."Not since the 1990s, when Los Angeles was hit with the fires, the flood, the earthquake, and the riots, have I seen such disaster occur here in our city," Hochman said at the briefing, referring to the Northridge Earthquake and the disturbances in the wake of the Rodney King verdict.The National Weather Service predicted the "red flag warning" that signals high fire danger will persist for LA County and nearby Ventura County through Friday.But there was some brightening on the horizon: Officials said weather conditions are beginning to turn favorably for firefighters. Signs warn of potential fire danger beneath the Hollywood sign on Thursday. AP Photo/Damian Dovarganes Meanwhile, 20 people have been arrested on suspicion of looting in areas affected by the fires, Los Angeles County Sheriff Robert Luna said at Thursday's briefing.And he issued a stern warning to the public: Anyone who remains in areas under mandatory evacuation orders is guilty of a misdemeanor, and his officers will begin enforcing that. Beyond that, crimes like looting could reach the felony level, he said.As for people still in their homes, around 95,000 power customers remain in the dark, Janisse Quiones, the CEO and chief engineer of the city's Department of Water and Power, said. Satellite images of the LA fires showed the destruction left in their wake.Here's a look at the latest happenings in the main fires spreading throughout the area:Palisades Fire Beachfront homes are destroyed by the Palisades Fire. Brian van der Brug / Los Angeles Times via Getty Images The Palisades Fire in the Pacific Palisades area north of Santa Monica was the first fire to strike the region on Tuesday morning. It has spread to nearly 20,000 acres, making it one of the worst natural disasters in LA history, officials said Thursday.Data from state agency CalFire early on Friday showed that the fire was 6% contained.The blaze has reduced thousands of structures to rubble, but exact numbers are not yet known, the officials said.Wind gusts in the area have tamed down some since their Tuesday highs of nearly 100 mph but remain up to 60 mph. They were expected to continue through Thursday.Los Angeles City Fire Chief Kristin Crowley would not confirm reports that the fire started in a resident's garden, saying the origin is still under investigation.Some celebrities have lost homes in the blaze, including Paris Hilton and Billy Crystal.Eaton Fire A man walks past a fire-ravaged business after the Eaton Fire swept through on Wednesday. AP Photo/Ethan Swope The second-largest fire in Los Angeles County is the Eaton Fire, which started on Tuesday evening in the Pasadena-Altadena area at the foothills of the Angeles National Forest.The blaze has spread to over 13,000 acres and reduced at least 1,000 homes to ash as of Thursday, officials said. As of early Friday, it was zero percent contained, according to CalFire.Still, LA County Fire Chief Anthony Marrone said the fire's growth has been "significantly stopped," and the cause remains unknown.Hurst Fire The Hurst fire burned in the hills above the Sylmar area of Los Angeles on Wednesday. Myung J. Chun / Los Angeles Times via Getty Images The Hurst Fire, which began late on Tuesday night in the northern part of the San Fernando Valley, spread to around 855 acres, according to data from CalFire, a state agency.CalFire data estimated it was 37% contained early on Friday.LAFD's Crowley said firefighters have been able to hold the fire within a containment area and have established a perimeter.Sunset Fire and others Firefighters stopped the forward progress of the Sunset Fire in the Hollywood Hills. Jason Armond / Los Angeles Times via Getty Images The Sunset Fire broke out in the Runyon Canyon area of the Hollywood Hills on Wednesday evening, quickly spreading to scorch over 40 acres and threaten major LA landmarks.As of Thursday morning, firefighters were able to stop the fire's forward progress, Crowley said. Crews are still working to "put out spot fires within the perimeters to keep the wind from spreading any additional embers," she said.All evacuation orders related to the Sunset Fire were lifted as of 7:30 a.m. Thursday, Crowley said.Meanwhile, a large structure fire broke out nearby, consuming two large homes in the Studio City area. Still, firefighters were able to stop its forward growth at just one acre and prevent another brushfire, Crowley said.Another fire, the Kenneth Fire, started on Thursday afternoon near Calabasas and Hidden Hills, north of the Palisades Fire. The fire quickly grew from 50 acres to 1,000 acres in less than a few hours, according to Cal Fire.A mandatory evacuation order was issued for several neighborhoods near the fire.An evacuation notice intended for residents impacted by the Kenneth Fire was mistakenly sent out across LA county due to a "technical error," County Supervisor Janice Hahn said in an X post.Yet another fire, the Lidia Fire, started Wednesday afternoon in Acton near the Antelope Valley, about 20 miles northeast of the San Fernando Valley. It spread to consume 348 acres but has been 60% contained, per CalFire.One of this week's fires has been 100% contained. The Woodley Fire, which began Wednesday morning in the southern part of the San Fernando Valley, has been suppressed and there are no current threats, Crowley said. Patrols were monitoring the area for any flare-ups, she said.Events canceled and landmarks closed as smoke chokes LAMajor and minor events alike have been canceled or postponed across the LA area as the city battles the fires.The 30th Annual Critics Choice Awards, set for Sunday night, were rescheduled for January 26. A National Hockey League game between the Los Angeles Kings and the Calgary Flames, scheduled for Wednesday night at Crypto.com arena, was postponed. The LA Lakers rescheduled Thursday night's game.Music venues across the city were also canceling or postponing their shows, including The Troubadour, The Wiltern, The Echo, the Kia Forum, Walt Disney Concert Hall, and others.Flights into and out of LAX, Hollywood Burbank Airport, Ontario International Airport, and Santa Ana's John Wayne Airport were also experiencing delays and cancellations.The fires are also shuttering tourist attractions in and around Los Angeles, which attracts nearly 50 million visitors a year.The fires forced some Los Angeles-area landmarks to close, including the Hollywood sign, the Los Angeles Zoo, the Broad Museum, the Norton Simon Museum, the Getty Villa and Getty Center, Universal Studios Hollywood and Universal CityWalk, and the Griffith Observatory.Airbnb told CNN that it would be allowing refunds for bookings in areas affected by the wildfires, following a viral social media post from a customer who said the company refused to offer her a refund.California already struggled with an insurance crisisThe devastating fires this week will likely only worsen California's ongoing insurance crisis, where many homebuyers already struggle to get approved for loans, home insurance, and fire insurance even in areas outside the typical risk zones.In recent years, some insurance companies, like State Farm, have stopped accepting new home insurance policies in the state entirely, aswildfire risks have only increased.Experts told Business Insider that prices are likely to continue rising for those who can still get insurance."I've seen numbers go up 200%, 300%, even 500% in a year," Nick Ramirez, the owner of a California insurance agency, told BI.And as the fires' estimated damages already climb into the billions of dollars, some homeowners will have to rebuild without the help of insurance payouts."These fires will likely be the costliest in history, not the deadliest, and that is the only silver lining right now," Daniel Swain, a climate scientist with UCLA, told LAist.This a developing story. Please check back for updates.0 Reacties 0 aandelen 111 Views
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WWW.BUSINESSINSIDER.COMAt Blackstone, junior staff talk deals to top execs. 'It's scary,' said Jon Gray.Blackstone encourages junior staff to speak at deal meetings, fostering open dialogue.It can be "scary," said Jon Gray, the firm's president, on a recent podcast.A former intern told BI last year that a senior leader said to him "rank doesn't matter here."Blackstone's president said that senior executives often ask the"We'll go around in many of these committees and ask the most junior people in the room, 'hey what do you think?' We want them to articulate why they have conviction," Jon Gray said on a recent podcast hosted by Norges Bank Investment Management. Norway's sovereign wealth fund has invested hundreds of millions of dollars with Blackstone.The 54-year-old, who started his career at the firm, said that it can be "scary" for a young person, and that the committee is "not the most patient group of people."Gray added that meetings get into questions immediately, with people"What we try to do is make sure a lot of please and thank you's and be appreciative to the group, but there's really sort of a truth-telling exercise," Gray said.Blackstone is the world's largest alternative asset manager, with more than $1 trillion in assets under management. The firm has 12,700 real estate assets and 240 portfolio companies as of June, according to the company's website.Last year, an associate who interned twicejuniors were encouraged to make their presence known."Senior leaders were constantly coming out to the bullpen and asking the most junior person on the team what they thought about the deals that we were currently in process with, what they thought about up-and-coming trends," said Marshall Plumlee, who was a US Army infantry officer before his Harvard MBA. He's now working at Blackstone full time.Plumlee said that one senior leader explained it to him this way: "Rank doesn't matter here; your thoughts are just as valuable as the next guy."Blackstone had 4,735 employees as of December 2023.Talent development initiativesThe private equity firm has made other commitments to developing talent, too.In 2020, it launched Career Pathways, a program to help portfolio companies solve talent problems by creating internal trainings. Last year, it started a data program to find and train people to fill specialized technical positions. In September, the company said the portfolio companies that took part in the program have hired over 10,500 people from underrepresented groups."We put it inside of our portfolio operations side of the business," Gray said at the time. "It's not a charitable effort. It's designed to drive talent to companies."'The executive is also known for being in charge of the iconic Blackstone holiday videos, which started in 2018 when the firm had grown too large to hostpreviously reported that Gray is usually the first person to come up with the idea for the holiday video a comical sketch sometimes filmed in the style of the television show "The Office" or with other pop-culture bents.0 Reacties 0 aandelen 114 Views
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WWW.BUSINESSINSIDER.COMDrew Barrymore says her female friendships have 'anchored' her life the mostDrew Barrymore says her female friendships have kept her "anchored" through the years.Research has shown that having strong friendships is as important as exercise for longevity.However, it can be difficult to make and maintain friendships in adulthood.Drew Barrymore, 49, is grateful that she has supportive female friends to rely on.During Wednesday's episode of "The Drew Barrymore Show," which featured guest Julianne Moore, the talk show host spoke about the strong friendships she shares with the women in her life."I think female friendship has been the thing that probably anchored my life the most," Barrymore said."Most of my friends I've had for 30 and 40 years I'm going to be 50 so it's like my whole life I've known these people," she said. "I trust them implicitly."The "Never Been Kissed" star had a troubled childhood: She was 13 when she entered a youth rehab center for drug use, and she was 14 when she was legally emancipated from her mother.Barrymore said her friends are "very honest" with her and know what she's been through."I feel like not having had traditional family, everything is possible through my female friendships," Barrymore said, adding that they help her get through her heartbreaks "much easier.""Every time I've ever been dumped, my first phone call is my girlfriends. They make it so much better," Barrymore said.In particular, Barrymore has been open about her friendships with her "Charlie's Angels" costars, Cameron Diaz and Lucy Liu.The three of them have made public appearances together over the years, including the premiere episode of Barrymore's talk show in 2020.Barrymore revealed in a 2021 Instagram Live that she was friends with Diaz long before they shared a screen."We met when I was 14 and she was 16. I was working at a coffee house and she was a junior model. She's still my bestie," Barrymore said.There are plenty of celebrity best friends in Hollywood, including Oprah Winfrey and Gayle King, who became friends after a snowstorm in 1976, and Jane Fonda and Lily Tomlin, who have known each other since meeting on set in 1980.Research has found that having good friendships could be as important as exercise and diet for living longer.However, adult friendships can be tricky to form and maintain, Dr. Frederick Smith, a psychologist, told Business Insider previously."As adults, we have many obligations," Dr. Smith said. "We may have responsibilities to our job, family, children, or education. We spend a lot of time doing these things, so we may not have enough time to devote to going out and developing friendships."However, there are ways for people to improve their friendships, he said. This includes practicing healthy boundaries, communicating clearly, and actively working to keep the relationship alive."Both people have to work to maintain it," he said. "Friendship should not be one-sided. If you only call me when you need something, or you only call me when you're going through some type of turmoil, and then I never hear from you, then that's a problem."A representative for Barrymore did not immediately respond to a request for comment sent by BI outside regular hours.0 Reacties 0 aandelen 113 Views
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WWW.ARCHDAILY.COMA-Building / LIFE ArchitectsA-Building / LIFE ArchitectsSave this picture! Kyungsub ShinArchitects: LIFE ArchitectsAreaArea of this architecture projectArea:356 mYearCompletion year of this architecture project Year: 2021 PhotographsPhotographs:Kyungsub Shin Lead Architects: Jeeyoung Han, Sooyong Hwang More SpecsLess SpecsSave this picture!Text description provided by the architects. A-Building explores the architectural possibilities of acute-angled sites by reflecting the sharp geometry of the land onto its faade. This design approach creates fragmented in-between spaces that express the building's internal programs and establish connections with the surrounding urban fabric.Save this picture!Save this picture!Located in Sungsudong 1, the building is a neighborhood living facility comprising one basement level and ten floors above ground. While the site area is suitable for constructing a small-scale building, its irregular acute-angled shape posed a significant design challenge. The primary goal was to maximize the site's efficiency while addressing the client's desire for a functional and effective use of the unique plot.Save this picture!Save this picture!With a floor area ratio of 400%, parking presented a critical issue. To resolve this, various mechanical parking systems were analyzed to find the optimal solution. By redesigning the original CIP (Cast In Place Pile) layout, additional width was secured to accommodate parking. The parking entrance, whimsically referred to as the "Boa Snake," seemingly consumes vehicles, leading to a functional sequence of ramps and stair landings that integrate parking with the first-floor space. This floor, currently used as a showroom for a fashion company and a venue for pop-up events, demonstrates a creative adaptation of spatial constraints.Save this picture!The acute angles of the site, while visually striking, could have resulted in unusable interior spaces. Extending the faade to align with these angles not only emphasized the building's dynamic form but also provided a rational solution that balanced aesthetics with functionality. Positioned strategically, the building offers urban views that reflect the passage of time, reinforcing its connection to the cityscape.Save this picture!Save this picture!The faade design employs vertical and horizontal elements that follow the site's diagonal geometry and the alignment of adjacent roads. The interplay of depth and shadow creates a dynamic faade that shifts in appearance throughout the day, offering a unique visual experience depending on the time and angle of observation.Save this picture!Laminated ceramic tiles were chosen for their ability to cover large areas with a single, seamless layer. This material not only enhances the faade's sleek aesthetic but also adds texture and character, especially when juxtaposed with the floor heights.Save this picture!Prior to construction, part of the site was encroached upon by adjacent roads. To minimize disruption, the stair faade and columns were carefully adjusted, with portions of the faade removed to improve accessibility. Structural integrity was maintained by suspending the staircases using tension rods, resulting in a seamless and functional integration of urban and architectural elements. Project gallerySee allShow lessProject locationAddress:Seongdong-gu, South KoreaLocation to be used only as a reference. It could indicate city/country but not exact address.About this officePublished on January 10, 2025Cite: "A-Building / LIFE Architects" 10 Jan 2025. ArchDaily. Accessed . <https://www.archdaily.com/1025381/a-building-life-architects&gt ISSN 0719-8884Save!ArchDaily?You've started following your first account!Did you know?You'll now receive updates based on what you follow! Personalize your stream and start following your favorite authors, offices and users.Go to my stream0 Reacties 0 aandelen 128 Views
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WWW.YOUTUBE.COMUnreal Engine 5 - Top Down Shooter #7 - Rotate/Orbit CameraProject Files: https://www.patreon.com/posts/119692293 .In this episodes of the top down shooter series, I am going to implement a way to rotate/orbit camera around. So player will be able to rotate the camera to a desired direction while playing the game. This method will work on both perspective and orthographic/isometric projection modes. CodeLikeMe Top Down shooter series: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLNTm9yU0zou4pEFizUOVzcM5roBFYa1oN CodeLikeMe Third-Person shooter series: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLNTm9yU0zou4HL7SAyIQoCqJRJ5QeQAl8 // ! https://www.patreon.com/codelikeme Patrons will have access to project files of all the stuff I do in the channel and other extra benefitsJoin this channel to get access to perks:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UClb6Jh9EBV7a_Nm52Ipll_Q/join Like my facebook page for more content : https://www.facebook.com/gamedevelopersclub/ Follow me on twitter : https://twitter.com/CodeLikeMe2 Follow me on reddit : https://www.reddit.com/user/codelikeme #CodeLikeMe #unrealengine #ue5 #indiegamedev0 Reacties 0 aandelen 170 Views
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WWW.NATURE.COMLongitudinal strain enhancement and bending deformations in piezoceramicsNature, Published online: 08 January 2025; doi:10.1038/s41586-024-08292-1We find that if the thickness of a polycrystalline piezoceramic is reduced such that a large fraction of the grains are in the triaxialbiaxal crossover regime, the longitudinal strain is enhanced and the piezoceramic bends.0 Reacties 0 aandelen 119 Views
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WWW.NATURE.COMSaturation genome editing-based clinical classification of <i>BRCA2</i> variantsNature, Published online: 08 January 2025; doi:10.1038/s41586-024-08349-1CRISPRCas9-based saturation genome editing in a humanized mouse embryonic stem cell line was used for comprehensive functional characterization of single nucleotide variants in a region of BRCA2, and shows good agreement with existing variant classifications and high predictive power.0 Reacties 0 aandelen 131 Views
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WWW.NATURE.COMDaily briefing: Why kids need to take more risks: science reveals the benefits of adventurous playNature, Published online: 08 January 2025; doi:10.1038/d41586-025-00039-wWe learn that lead in the air of ancient Rome might have lowered IQs and discover why children need risky play.0 Reacties 0 aandelen 132 Views