The price of eggs is going up as highly pathogenic H5N1 avian influenza spreads in the US and continues to pose serious threats to poultry farms worldwide. In just the past thirty days, no fewer than 23.3 million birds have been affected in the US including 102 commercial flocks and 49 backyard flocks. H5N1 is showing itself to be a highly persistent and costly threat.U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Average Price: Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City ... [+] Average [APU0000708111], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111, February 20, 2025.Federal Reserve Bank of St. LouisA key question for both farmers and government officials is how the virus gets onto farms in the first place. Some transmission routessuch as direct contact with wild birds, contaminated feed or drinking water, and movement by people through contaminated clothing or equipmentare well-documented, and biosecurity measures are taken at many farms to minimize exposure.Now, new research sheds light on an often-overlooked mechanism: windborne transmission. A recent study presents compelling genetic and meteorological evidence that H5N1 can travel significant distances via wind, challenging the conventional wisdom and highlighting the need to reconsider outbreak mitigation strategies.Screen shot from USDA APHIS website, February 20, 2025. ... [+] https://www.aphis.usda.gov/livestock-poultry-disease/avian/avian-influenza/hpai-detections/commercial-backyard-flocksUSDA Animal Plant Health Inspection ServiceGenetic Evidence for an Epidemiological LinkThe study, conducted after an outbreak of H5N1 in the Czech Republic in February 2024, examined how the virus spread from a duck farm to two chicken farms located approximately 8 km away. Genetic sequencing revealed striking similarities between the virus strains at these farms, with some isolates from the duck farm 100% identical to those found in the chicken farms.Crucially, extensive field investigations ruled out several possible transmission routes. There were no direct interactions between the companies managing the farms, no contaminated feed or water sources, and no major water bodies nearby to facilitate spread via wild birds. The study also ruled out human-associated transmission and even rodent-mediated spread. Given these findings, wind emerged as the most plausible explanation for how the virus traveled between the farms.Meteorological Correlation and Windborne SpreadMeteorological data provided further support for the windborne transmission hypothesis. Between February 4 and 7, prevailing winds blew consistently from the west or southwest (250300 degrees), aligning with the suspected transmission route. Wind speeds averaged around 4 meters per second, with gusts reaching 810 meters per second on February 5. The study determined the optimal period for airborne viral transmission occurred from noon on February 4 to midnight on February 5. At these wind speeds, the virus could have made the distance between the two farms in just 13-22 minutes.Airborne transmission, especially over distances of 8 km, is not typically considered a major route for H5N1 transmission. However, this study challenges that assumption.Map showing duck farm and chicken farms connected by windborne spread of H5N1 avian influenza. Map ... [+] drawn by E. Marty from data reported in a study of an outbreak in the Czech Republic.Eric MartyThe Role of Tunnel Ventilation SystemsOne of the most significant insights from the study is the role of tunnel ventilation systems in facilitating windborne spread. These ventilation systems function like high-volume air samplers, creating negative pressure inside poultry houses that draws in huge quantities of ambient air effectively concentrating whatever particulates may be in that air, in this case infectious virions of H5N1.During the infection period, ventilation rates at the affected chicken farms were exceptionally high. These conditions likely allowed airborne viral particles to accumulate and reach infectious doses. Notably, on the affected chicken farms, outbreaks in chicken houses began near air intake systems. On farm C, the researchers inferred that transmission between chicken houses likely originated in the house with the largest bird population and highest ventilation rate, making it the most plausible first recipient of airborne virus from farm B.Implications for Outbreak MitigationThe findings of this study have significant implications for HPAI outbreak response and biosecurity measures. Conventionally, only dust generated during depopulation efforts has been considered a major risk factor for airborne transmission. However, this study suggests that aerosols produced by infected flocks may be more significant carriers of the virus, as heavier dust particles tend to settle quickly near the outbreak site.To address this new understanding of transmission dynamics, poultry farms and animal health officials should consider whether or not existing biosecurity protocols that focus on direct contact and contamination are adequate. Should airborne mitigation strategies now be considered, too?Additionally, more research is needed to determine if poultry houses with tunnel ventilation systems need additional filtration or air purification technologies to minimize airborne virus spread, especially in places where chicken farms are located close to one another.ConclusionsWhile the study provides strong genetic and meteorological evidence for windborne transmission in this case, there are limitations to air sampling studies. Detecting minute concentrations of viral particles over long distances is challenging. The absence of detection in some studies does not necessarily rule out windborne spread, highlighting the need for continued research into the aerodynamics of viral transmission in poultry settings. In the meantime its worth reconsidering if airborne transmission might account for some of the incursions into otherwise biosecured facilities.This study reshapes our understanding of H5N1 transmission, presenting robust evidence that windborne spread plays a larger role than previously recognized. By highlighting the role of tunnel ventilation systems and optimal wind conditions, the research underscores the need for enhanced airborne transmission control measures.