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No, Its Not a Good Idea to Shoot at New Jersey Mystery Drones
December 16, 20244 min readWhy Its a Bad Idea to Shoot at New Jersey Mystery DronesSurging reports of strange drones in the skies over New Jersey and other parts of the northeast U.S. have spurred calls to shoot down the unidentified objects. But thats a very bad ideaBy Lee BillingsA small drone silhouetted against a full moon. Flyby Photography/Alamy Stock PhotoAs reports of mysterious drones flying over the northeast U.S. continue to surge, so too does a seemingly common-sense response: Well, why not just try shooting one down?The sightings, which reportedly started about a month ago in the skies over northern New Jersey, have now spread to surrounding states including New York State, Pennsylvania and Marylandand the seeming lack of satisfactory answers from local, state and federal authorities has left many public officials and ordinary citizens alike feeling frustrated and powerless. In response, a bipartisan chorus of lawmakers has begun calling for more aggressive measures. Even President-elect Donald Trump has weighed in, writing in a Truth Social post last Friday that in the absence of proper explanation from the government, the next step should be to shoot them down!!!Dear reader, at the risk of being considered politically biased or in on any number of drone-related conspiracy theories, its our duty to inform you that trying to shoot down one of these unidentified flying objects is a truly terrible idea. Please dont do itand not just because if the drones are emissaries from some alien supercivilization, shooting at them might be interpreted as an act of interstellar war.On supporting science journalismIf you're enjoying this article, consider supporting our award-winning journalism by subscribing. By purchasing a subscription you are helping to ensure the future of impactful stories about the discoveries and ideas shaping our world today.Heres why:Many of these drones arent drones at allWhile some number of the sightings are almost certainly real drones being operated by unknown parties for unclear reasons, according to the FBI, most of the thousands of New Jersey drone reports are consistent with witnesses misidentifying crewed aircraft. In overlaying the visual sightings reported to the FBI with approach patterns for Newark-Liberty, JFK, and LaGuardia airports, the density of reported sightings matches the approach patterns of these very busy airports, with flights coming in throughout the night, FBI officials noted in a White House media briefing Saturday. This modeling is indicative of manned aviation being quite often mistaken for unmanned aviation or UAS [uncrewed aerial systems].To illustrate just how easy it is for most anyone to make this sort of mistake, look no further than New Jersey Senator Andy Kim, who met with concerned constituents at Round Valley Reservoir last Thursday night to see the phenomenon first-hand. Kim and his fellow observers noted multiple sightings, many of which were captured on video. More detailed analysis revealed, however, that the potential drones were in fact mere airplaneswhich Kim helpfully explained in a series of social media posts. Similarly, the following day former Maryland Governor Larry Hogan posted about dozens of drones flying over his home the night before; seemingly all of them were subsequently identified as ordinary celestial objects, such as the planet Mars and the bright star Sirius.Physics isnt on your side, and what goes up must come downGranted, taking a potshot at another planet from your backyard may seem innocuous. Your bullets, slugs or pellets wont reach escape velocity, let alone be able to navigate interplanetary space to reach their far-distant targets. But precisely because they cant break Earths surly bonds, all ballistic projectiles fired upward will fall back to the surfacewhere they can easily cause very real and potentially deadly harm.Firing on an actual object flying in Earths atmosphere is of course a dangerous proposition, tooespecially in this case, when so many reports are clearly misidentifying crewed aircraft flying relatively low and slow after taking off or during landing approaches at nearby airports. Generally speaking, although such circumstances are more favorable for conventional firearms hitting their mark, the odds of a bullseye are still lowbut would you want to be the one responsible for a rifle bullet striking, say, a commercial passenger plane about to land in Newark?If youre especially physics-savvy, you might think to try firing something far faster and seemingly more innocuous at a suspected dronelike a laser beam. But while most lasers wont blow a hole in a fuselage, they can still disorient aircraft crew, as well as sensors on uncrewed vehicles, creating hazardous situations. (And, alas, it seems the spate of drone reports has already caused this sort of laser-based dazzling for aircraft flying over New Jersey, presumably from people on the ground targeting them with laser pointers.) Outside of lasers, other electromagnetic effects, such as blasts of radio waves, can also disrupt aircraft navigation systems and are often used in military-grade drone-jamming technology. But these can have dangerous results, too.Via bullets or photons, in a worst-case scenario such external influence could result in an aircraft (whether a passenger-packed plane or some sort of clandestine drone) crashing in an uncontrolled descent. This would turn what was otherwise most likely a safe-but-spooky object in the sky into a genuine threat: effectively a fuel-filled (or battery-packed) missile plummeting toward the ground, potentially colliding with other aircraft as it goes or sparking a fire where it lands.The law isnt on your side, eitherBecause of all these very real risks, its a criminal offense in the U.S. for private citizens to interfere with, damage or destroy any flying aircrafteven if its unidentified and moving over private property. And shooting a gun into the air is typically unlawful, too, considered as the reckless discharge of a firearm.So please, dont try to shoot down any dronesor at least leave such tasks to the authorities. And while youre at it, consider becoming more familiar with the wonders of the night sky, whether natural or humanmade. Youll find most of them are rather beautiful and not at all threatening.
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