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Dairy cattle in a pasture near the Burgundy Canal in the countryside of Burgundy, France, 2009. ... [+] (Photo By Buddy Mays/Getty Images).Getty ImagesImagine a pastoral scene.. Cows grazing on lush green grass, a vigorous vegetable garden, and sugar maple trees dominating a distant hill. Now imagine a feedlot with thousands of cows trampling in the dirt, the smell of rotten eggs wafting from a manure lagoon, and a couple dead cow carcasses waiting to be hauled away. Would you prefer to live next to a pastoral farm practicing regenerative agriculture or a factory farm housing thousands of cows? For most of us, the answer is easy. But the answer is not so easy if the question is: Which systemregenerative agriculture or factory farminghas the greatest potential to reduce farmings climate footprint?Agriculture - High view of a large beef feedlot / near Lubbock, Texas, USA. (Photo by: Richard ... [+] Hamilton Smith /Design Pics Editorial/Universal Images Group via Getty Images)Design Pics Editorial/Universal Images Group via Getty ImagesBy way of background, agriculture is responsible for about 30% of total greenhouse gas emissions globally and 11% of climate emissions in the U.S. Beef production alone accounts for about 6% of total global emissions, compared to about 2.5% for flying. As other sectors like energy and transportation make the green transition, agriculture emissions will occupy an even bigger slice of the pie. And farming will receive more scrutiny from advocates and activists bent on avoiding the worst outcomes of climate change. Given agricultures outsized footprint, might regenerative agriculture help solve agricultures climate woes?What is regenerative agriculture?Regenerative agriculture aims to restore the health of soils through farming practices based on natural processes. For example, when farmers plant alfalfa or other crops that increase nitrogen in the soil, they can lower their use of synthetic fertilizers. When farmers stop plowing soils each year, they can reduce soil erosion. When livestock graze in pastures, air pollution caused by huge heaps of manure and dust from thousands of cattle trampling dirt in feedlots is avoided.MORE FOR YOUPerhaps it is not surprising that regenerative agriculture is gaining popularity as a response to the ills of factory farming. Throughout the ages agriculture has evolved in response to new concerns. The Green Revolution was launched in the 1960s to eliminate widespread hunger and malnutrition in low-income countries. Its breeding programs increased the yield of rice, wheat, and other major crops by 44% between 1965 and 2010. On the down side, intensive farming practices to feed a growing human population threatened the health of the very soils that grow our food. Soils have been ravaged by erosion, contaminated by herbicides and fertilizers, compacted by cows and heavy farm equipment, and depleted of organic material and nutrients. On a global scale the annual loss of 75 billion tons of soil costs the world about US$400 billion per year. Over the period 2015-2040, land degradation could reduce global food productivity by 12%, leading to a 30% increase in food pricesa major concern given recent food price inflation.On saturday 18th July 2009 70 mm of rain fell over the north East UK onto already saturated ground ... [+] The river Wear burst its banks, innundating the floodplain around the city of Durham and flooding many properties As the water in the river started to drop, a section of the banking collapsed into the river The flood water that was held back on the floodplain now suddenly had a shortcut back into the river As the floodwaters tore back into the river channel they eroded a huge gully that has been called the Durham Canyon The erosion feature is up to 15 feet deep, up to 100 feet across and 200 yards long 12,000 cubic metres of soil were washed into the river from a field of Barley at Shincliffe near Durham As climate change accelerates such damage from severe weather events will increase. (Photo by Ashley Cooper/Construction Photography/Avalon/Getty Images)Getty ImagesRegenerative agriculture promises a more sustainable food production system that restores agricultural soils and rural livelihoods, grows healthier food, and is resilient to increasingly severe disturbances like floods, droughts and extreme temperatures. Conservation programs in the U.S. Farm Bill support the growing number of farmers who want to adopt these practices. McKinsey calculates that regenerative agriculture could provide up to $80 billion in cash flows for U.S. corn farmers over ten years.22 June 2023, Brandenburg, Alt Madlitz: Benedikt Bsel, farmer, entrepreneur, agricultural ... [+] economist, shows the dry earth in an oat field with his hands. Photo: Patrick Pleul/dpa (Photo by Patrick Pleul/picture alliance via Getty Images)dpa/picture alliance via Getty ImagesCan regenerative agriculture reduce greenhouse gases?Despite the many benefits of regenerative agriculture, questions about its potential to reduce greenhouse gases linger. Which regenerative agriculture practices are most effective in taking greenhouse gases out of the atmosphere, storing carbon in soils, and reducing emissions? Will these practices be able to feed a growing global population without increasing greenhouse gas emissions? By way of answering these questions, lets explore some regenerative agriculture practices and their ability to draw down CO2 in the atmosphere.No-tillNo-till refers to farming without plowing the soil. A study using a global dataset of 178 experimental sites concluded that soils that arent plowed can store more carbon in some, but not all, soil types and climatic conditions. In other words, given the right conditions, no-till can contribute to reducing greenhouse gases.Cover cropsStudies show that cover cropsor crops like rye planted to enhance the health of soils rather than to harvesthave greater potential than no-till agriculture to capture carbon from the atmosphere. But again results are highly variable, depending on factors such as how long the cover crops are allowed to grow and the types of soils they are growing on. In a review of 40 studies, cover crops increased soil carbon by an average of 12%, whereas in a different review of 35 studies, cover crops did not increase soil carbon in 71% of the comparisons of sites with no cover crops.AgroforestryAgroforestry refers to planting trees and annual crops together. A review of 78 studies from 30 countries found that soil carbon was generally higher in farms with both crops and trees than in farms with only crops, but lower than in forests. The gain in soil carbon under agroforestry was substantial in tropical and arid regions, but not in temperate areas like the northeast U.S. Again results were highly variable depending on previous land uses, climate, and initial soil carbon.22 June 2023, Brandenburg, Alt Madlitz: An agroforestry plot by Benedikt Bsel, farmer, ... [+] entrepreneur, agricultural economist (aerial view taken with a drone). Photo: Patrick Pleul/dpa (Photo by Patrick Pleul/picture alliance via Getty Images)dpa/picture alliance via Getty ImagesWheres the beef?Because beef and dairy are responsible for 14%18% of global climate emissions, we need to consider all approaches to reducing their climate impact. In lands too dry or otherwise unsuitable for raising crops, allowing livestock to graze freely is an important means of producing food. In regenerative agriculture, cows are allowed to graze in pastures rather than being fed grain in feedlots. In some instances, manure on pastures can promote plant growth, and because plants absorb carbon dioxide, help mitigate some of livestocks outsized emissions.But, similar to results from studies of crops grown using no-till and other regenerative practices, the actual emissions from pasture-raised and feedlot beef vary widely, depending on things like feed, soils, climate, and how long the animal is allowed to live before slaughter. A review of 32 cattle and dairy studies found that because consumers pay a premium for grass-fed beef, the carbon emissions per dollar of profit are lower for grass-fed compared to cheaper feedlot beef. But a study of 100 cattle operations in 16 countries that used weight of meat produced rather than profit revealed that, on average, pasture-raised operations emit more carbon per pound of meat than feedlot-raised cattle.Carbon Opportunity Costs and pasture-raised beefHow do we explain the result that despite their acrid odor, manure runoff into streams, and often inhumane treatment of animals, feedlot operations are less harmful for the climate per pound of beef than pasture systems? For one, enteric emissionsthose methane-laden cow burpshappen across all cattle production systems but may be even higher in grazed cattle due to their fibrous diet. Second, the ability of soils to absorb carbon varies widely in different pastures, but in life-cycle assessments, does not compensate for the cows methane emissions and larger land area needed for grazing versus feedlots.Perhaps most important is the carbon opportunity costthe potential reductions in greenhouse gases if instead of being used for cow pasture, the same land were used to grow forests, restore native ecosystems, or other practices that store larger amounts of greenhouse gases. Another way to think about this is that a pasture-raised cow lives longer but doesnt grow as large as a cow living in a feedlot. This means that more cows and more land are needed to feed the worlds hunger for meat. Put simply, feedlots produce more meat on less land than do pastures. By being more productive, factory farming spares land for forests and other land uses that store carbon.Carbon Opportunity Costs help us understand the climate impact of using land that could store a lot ... [+] of carbon for low productivity agriculture. For example, if land that could be forests that store massive amounts of carbon is instead used for grazing sheep or cows, the opportunity to store carbon should that land be in forests is lost.Our World In Data, Creative CommonsThe World Resources Institute (WRI) explains the importance of factoring in carbon opportunity costs--or the amount of land that is not converted to agriculture when existing farms produce high quantities of food.Implemented in the right way, preserving the huge, existing reservoirs of vegetative and soil carbon in the worlds remaining forests and woody savannas by boosting productivity on existing agricultural land (a land sparing strategy) is the largest, potential climate mitigation prize of agricultural practices. Realizing these benefits requires implementing practices in ways that boost productivity and then linking those gains to governance and finance to protect natural ecosystems.All this has led author and environmentalist George Monbiot to pronounce organic, pasture-fed beef and lamb as our most damaging farm products!How should we think about regenerative agriculture and climate?I posed this question to Professor Woolf. He had two big picture responses.Although the ability of regenerative practices to reduce greenhouse gases varies radically across different landscapes, the good news is that a lot of this variability can be explained and predicted. If we implement the right practices in the right places, regenerative agriculture can reduce greenhouse gases.The bad news is that even if farmers across the globe implement the practices most likely to reduce greenhouse gases while maintaining productivity, the overall impact will only be a small fraction of what is needed to reach our climate goals. Using complex models, Woolf and his colleagues calculated that regenerative agriculture can bring down greenhouse gases by an average of 0.5 gigatons of CO2-e/year. (CO2-e is a measure that standardizes emissions across gases with higher warming potential, such as methane and nitrous oxide.) But this figure doesnt take into account the possibility of smaller yields shown for some regenerative agricultural practices. Using only practices that increase or maintain yields (and thus spare other land from being converted to agriculture), only 0.13 GT CO2-e per year, or 0.2% of current global emissions, will be avoided through adopting regenerative agriculture practices globally. According to Woolf, when it comes to climate, regenerative agriculture is barely a buck shot, not a silver bullet. However, he adds, there are no silver bullets that we know of, so what we need is a lot of buckshot from a wide range of mitigation options combined.What can the citizen do? There is lots to like about regenerative agricultureit is more resilient to extreme weather, reduces soil erosion and pollution, and creates desirable landscapes and neighbors. But regenerative agriculture as a comprehensive climate solution for farm emissions is not backed up by the latest science. At the same time, we do need to think about how we can feed the worlds population in a way that reduces greenhouse gases and avoids factory farmings rampant rates of soil erosion and soil and water pollution.Be wary of claims that regenerative agriculture practices will have a major impact on reducing climate emissions. Embrace these practices for what they are good atlike reducing erosion and decreasing fertilizer and pesticide use.Ask Congress, the USDA, and food companies to support research and development in both nature-based and high-tech approaches to growing food that increase productivity, so as to reduce the need to convert forests and other natural lands that store massive amounts of carbon to agriculture. Funders should support farmers who want to implement practices proven to reduce greenhouse gases under the right conditions, including those that are currently expensive like biochar. The key to using these practices to mitigate climate change is to match specific practices to the farm conditions where they have been shown to store carbon.Diversify proteins in your diet. Meat eaters in industrialized nations have a choice. Continue high rates of meat consumption and support feedlots with their insidious air and water pollution. Or reduce meat consumption and make way for pasture-raised beef, but expect to pay a premium and dont claim to be reducing your climate footprint. Alternatively, reduce your meat consumption through trying out novel, low carbon-footprint foods, and supporting research and development of the growing variety of alternative meats.There are no easy answers. But for now, lets embrace regenerative agriculture for the right reasonsits potential to restore healthy soils and create beautiful landscapes that anyone would want to live next to. But not for its ability as a one-stop solution to rapidly reduce climate emissions.* I am employed at Cornell University.
