• Exoplanet plate tectonics: A new frontier in the hunt for alien life
    www.newscientist.com
    SpacePlate tectonics seems to be crucial for life on Earth, but weve never confirmed that it happens on other worlds - that may be about to change 2 December 2024 Mark Garlick/Science Photo Library/AlamyThere is something strange about Earth. A few billion years ago, a process started here that we have never seen anywhere else. It completely reshaped the planets surface and its carbon cycle, sculpted new landscapes and has kept our home temperate and habitable for billions of years.That process is plate tectonics, in which Earth continuously subsumes and reforms the slabs of its rocky outer shell. It is thought to be inextricably linked to habitability and perhaps an essential prerequisite for life itself. Without it, our lakes and rivers might have frozen or evaporated, the oceans could have been starved of nutrients and Earths climate would probably have veered into unlivable territory long ago. Life would have been in for a rough ride.At least, thats the idea. But it is tough to know whether plate tectonics is really crucial to Earths verdant ecology, given that we have nothing to compare it with. We know of no other planet that exhibits plate tectonics: among the four rocky planets in our solar system, Earth is the only one to recycle its crust in this way, and we havent spotted definitive signs of it beyond our solar system either.Until recently, this was more or less where the story ended. But now, with the help of the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST), scientists are beginning to explore the geology of rocky worlds beyond our solar system. Finding one with plate tectonics will be a huge ask. But if we succeed, it could be the key to
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  • Temporary scalp tattoo can be used to record brain activity
    www.newscientist.com
    Tattoos printed onto a persons scalp can detect electrical activity in the brain and carry signals to a recording deviceNanshu LuAnalysing brainwaves could be made easier by printing a temporary tattoo onto a persons head.Electroencephalography (EEG) is a way of measuring electrical activity in the brain via electrodes placed on the scalp. It can be used to test patients for neurological conditions such as epilepsy, tumours or injury from stroke or traumatic impacts to the head. AdvertisementBecause peoples skulls vary in size and shape, technicians have to spend considerable amounts of time measuring and marking the scalp to get accurate readings. A gel helps the electrodes detect brain signals, but it stops working well as it dries. The cables that connect to the electrodes can also cause discomfort and may interfere with subtle electric signals.Nanshu Lu at the University of Texas at Austin and her team want to avoid these issues by printing a temporary tattoo onto the subjects scalp. The ink for the tattoo is made of two polymers called poly(3,4-ethylenedioxythiophene) (PEDOT) and polystyrene sulfonate (PSS). It is highly conductive and durable and doesnt irritate the skin.A computer program creates a personalised design of the tattoo based on a 3D scan of the scalp, then a printer controlled by a robotic arm applies the ink straight onto the scalp. There are two different formulations of the ink: one for the electrodes that pick up brain signals and one for connections that run to the back of the neck. From there, physical wires carry the signals to a small device that records the data. Get the most essential health and fitness news in your inbox every Saturday.Sign up to newsletterOur technology embodies the first hair-compatible temporary e-tattoo that allows for high-quality brain monitoring, says Lu.The tattoo has been shown to work well on people with bald heads and buzz-cut hairstyles. While the method has not yet been tested extensively on long, thick, curly hair, modified nozzle designs or incorporating robotic fingers for hair parting could make it feasible in the future, she says. Data transmitters embedded in the tattoos could also make the process fully wireless, according to the team.Journal reference:Cell Biomaterials DOI: 10.1016/j.celbio.2024.100004Topics:
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  • This manga publisher is using Anthropics AI to translate Japanese comics into English
    www.technologyreview.com
    A Japanese publishing startup is using Anthropics flagship large language model Claude to help translate manga into English, allowing the company to churn out a new title for a Western audience in just a few days rather than the two to three months it would take a team of humans. Orange was founded by Shoko Ugaki, a manga superfan who (according to VP of product Rei Kuroda) has some 10,000 titles in his house. The company now wants more people outside Japan to have access to them. I hope we can do a great job for our readers, says Kuroda. Orange's Japanese-to-English translation of Neko Oji: Salaryman reincarnated as a kitten!IMAGES COURTESY ORANGE / YAJIMA But not everyone is happy. The firm has angered a number of manga fans who see the use of AI to translate a celebrated and traditional art form as one more front in the ongoing battle between tech companies and artists. However well-intentioned this company might be, I find the idea of using AI to translate manga distasteful and insulting, says Casey Brienza, a sociologist and author of the book Manga in America: Transnational Book Publishing and the Domestication of Japanese Comics. Manga is a form of Japanese comic that has been around for more than a century. Hit titles are often translated into other languages and find a large global readership, especially in the US. Some, like Battle Angel Alita or One Piece, are turned into anime (animated versions of the comics) or live-action shows and become blockbuster movies and top Netflix picks. The US manga market was worth around $880 million in 2023 but is expected to reach $3.71 billion by 2030, according to some estimates. Its a huge growth market right now, says Kuroda. Orange wants a part of that international market. Only around 2% of titles published in Japan make it to the US, says Kuroda. As Orange sees it, the problem is that manga takes human translators too long to translate. By building AI tools to automate most of the tasks involved in translationincluding extracting Japanese text from a comics panels, translating it into English, generating a new font, pasting the English back into the comic, and checking for mistranslations and typosit can publish a translated mange title in around one-tenth the time it takes human translators and illustrators working by hand, the company says. Humans still keep a close eye on the process, says Kuroda: Honestly, AI makes mistakes. It sometimes misunderstands Japanese. It makes mistakes with artwork. We think humans plus AI is whats important. Superheroes, aliens, cats Manga is a complex art form. Stories are told via a mix of pictures and words, which can be descriptions or characters voices or sound effects, sometimes in speech bubbles and sometimes scrawled across the page. Single sentences can be split across multiple panels. There are also diverse themes and narratives, says Kuroda: Theres the student romance, mangas about gangs and murders, superheroes, aliens, cats. Translations must capture the cultural nuance in each story. This complexity makes localization work highly challenging, he says. Orange often starts with nothing more than the scanned image of a page. Its system first identifies which parts of the page show Japanese text, copies it, and erases the text from each panel. These snippets of text are then combined into whole sentences and passed to the translation module, which not only translates the text into English but keeps track of where on the page each individual snippet comes from. Because Japanese and English have a very different word order, the snippets need to be reordered, and the new English text must be placed on the page in different places from where the Japanese equivalent had come fromall without messing up the sequence of images. Generally, the images are the most important part of the story, says Frederik Schodt, an award-winning manga translator who published his first translation in 1977. Any language cannot contradict the images, so you cant take many of the liberties that you might in translating a novel. You cant rearrange paragraphs or change things around much. Orange's Japanese-to-English translation of Neko Oji: Salaryman reincarnated as a kitten!IMAGES COURTESY ORANGE / YAJIMA Orange tried several large language models, including its own, developed in house, before picking Claude 3.5. Were always evaluating new models, says Kuroda. Right now Claude gives us the most natural tone. Claude also has an agent framework that lets several sub-models work together on an overall task. Orange uses this framework to juggle the multiple steps in the translation process. Orange distributes its translations via an app called Emaqi (a pun on emaki, the ancient Japanese illustrated scrolls that are considered a precursor to manga). It also wants to be a translator-for-hire for US publishers. But Orange has not been welcomed by all US fans. When it showed up at Anime NYC, a US anime convention, this summer, the Japanese-to-English translator Jan Mitsuko Cash tweeted: A company like Orange has no place at the convention hosting the Manga Awards, which celebrates manga and manga professionals in the industry. If you agree, please encourage @animenyc to ban AI companies from exhibiting or hosting panels. Brienza takes the same view. Work in the culture industries, including translation, which ultimately is about translating human intention, not mere words on a page, can be poorly paid and precarious, she says. If this is the way the wind is blowing, I can only grieve for those who will go from making little money to none. Some have also called Orange out for cutting corners. The manga uses stylized text to represent the inner thoughts that the [protagonist] cant quite voice, another fan tweeted. But Orange didnt pay a redrawer or letterer to replicate it properly. They also just skip over some text entirely. Orange distributes its translations via an app called Emaqi (available only in the US and Canada for now)EMAQI Everyone at Orange understands that manga translation is a sensitive issue, says Kuroda: We believe that human creativity is absolutely irreplaceable, which is why all AI-assisted work is rigorously reviewed, refined, and finalized by a team of people. Orange also claims that the authors it has translated are on board with its approach. "Im genuinely happy with how the English version turned out, says Kenji Yajima, one of the authors Orange has worked with, referring to the companys translation of his title Neko Oji: Salaryman reincarnated as a kitten! (see images). As a manga artist, seeing my work shared in other languages is always exciting. Its a chance to connect with readers I never imagined reaching before. Schodt sees the upside too. He notes that the US is flooded with poor-quality, unofficial fan-made translations. The number of pirated translations is huge, he says. Its like a parallel universe. He thinks using AI to streamline translation is inevitable. Its the dream of many companies right now, he says. But it will take a huge investment. He believes that really good translation will require large language models trained specifically on manga: Its not something that one small company is going to be able to pull off. Whether this will prove economically feasible right now is anyones guess, says Schodt. There is a lot of advertising hype going on, but the readers will have the final judgment.
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  • What the departing White House chief tech advisor has to say on AI
    www.technologyreview.com
    President Bidens administration will end within two months, and likely to depart with him is Arati Prabhakar, the top mind for science and technology in his cabinet. She has served as Director of the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy since 2022 and was the first to demonstrate ChatGPT to the president in the Oval Office. Prabhakar was instrumental in passing the presidents executive order on AI in 2023, which sets guidelines for tech companies to make AI safer and more transparent (though it relies on voluntary participation). The incoming Trump administration has not presented a clear thesis of how it will handle AI, but plenty of people in it will want to see that executive order nullified. Trump said as much in July, endorsing the 2024 Republican Party Platform that says the executive order hinders AI innovation and imposes Radical Leftwing ideas on the development of this technology. Venture capitalist Marc Andreessen has said he would support such a move. However, complicating that narrative will be Elon Musk, who for years has expressed fears about doomsday AI scenarios, and has been supportive of some regulations aiming to promote AI safety. As she prepares for the end of the administration, I sat down with Prabhakar and asked her to reflect on President Bidens AI accomplishments, and how AI risks, immigration policies, the CHIPS Act and more could change under Trump. This conversation has been edited for length and clarity. Every time a new AI model comes out, there are concerns about how it could be misused. As you think back to what were hypothetical safety concerns just two years ago, which ones have come true? We identified a whole host of risks when large language models burst on the scene, and the one that has fully manifested in horrific ways is deepfakes and image-based sexual abuse. Weve worked with our colleagues at the Gender Policy Council to urge industry to step up and take some immediate actions, which some of them are doing. There are a whole host of things that can be donepayment processors could actually make sure people are adhering to their Terms of Use. They don't want to be supporting [image-based sexual abuse] and they can actually take more steps to make sure that they're not. There's legislation pending, but that's still going to take some time. Have there been risks that didn't pan out to be as concerning as you predicted? At first there was a lot of concern expressed by the AI developers about biological weapons. When people did the serious benchmarking about how much riskier that was compared with someone just doing Google searches, it turns out, there's a marginally worse risk, but it is marginal. If you haven't been thinking about how bad actors can do bad things, then the chatbots look incredibly alarming. But you really have to say, compared to what? For many people, theres a knee-jerk skepticism about the Department of Defense or police agencies going all in on AI. I'm curious what steps you think those agencies need to take to build trust. If consumers don't have confidence that the AI tools they're interacting with are respecting their privacy, are not embedding bias and discrimination, that they're not causing safety problems, then all the marvelous possibilities really aren't going to materialize. Nowhere is that more true than national security and law enforcement. I'll give you a great example. Facial recognition technology is an area where there have been horrific, inappropriate uses: take a grainy video from a convenience store and identify a black man who has never even been in that state, who's then arrested for a crime he didn't commit. (Editors note: Prabhakar is referring to this story). Wrongful arrests based on a really poor use of facial recognition technology, that has got to stop. In stark contrast to that, when I go through security at the airport now, it takes your picture and compares it to your ID to make sure that you are the person you say you are. That's a very narrow, specific application that's matching my image to my ID, and the sign tells meand I know from our DHS colleagues that this is really the casethat they're going to delete the image. That's an efficient, responsible use of that kind of automated technology. Appropriate, respectful, responsiblethat's where we've got to go. Were you surprised at the AI safety bill getting vetoed in California? I wasn't. I followed the debate, and I knew that there were strong views on both sides. I think what was expressed, that I think was accurate, by the opponents of that bill, is that it was simply impractical, because it was an expression of desire about how to assess safety, but we actually just don't know how to do those things. No one knows. It's not a secret, it's a mystery. To me, it really reminds us that while all we want is to know how safe, effective and trustworthy a model is, we actually have very limited capacity to answer those questions. Those are actually very deep research questions, and a great example of the kind of public R&D that now needs to be done at a much deeper level. Lets talk about talent. Much of the recent National Security Memorandum on AI was about how to help the right talent come from abroad to the US to work on AI. Do you think we're handling that in the right way? It's a hugely important issue. This is the ultimate American story, that people have come here throughout the centuries to build this country, and it's as true now in science and technology fields as it's ever been. We're living in a different world. I came here as a small child because my parents came here in the early 1960s from India, and in that period, there were very limited opportunities [to emigrate to] many other parts of the world. One of the good pieces of news is that there is much more opportunity now. The other piece of news is that we do have a very critical strategic competition with the People's Republic of China, and that makes it more complicated to figure out how to continue to have an open door for people who come seeking America's advantages, while making sure that we continue to protect critical assets like our intellectual property. Do you think the divisive debates around immigration, especially around the time of the election, may hurt the US ability to bring the right talent into the country? Because we've been stalled as a country on immigration for so long, what is caught up in that is our ability to deal with immigration for the STEM fields. It's collateral damage. Has the CHIPS Act been successful? I'm a semiconductor person starting back with my graduate work. I was astonished and delighted when, after four decades, we actually decided to do something about the fact that semiconductor manufacturing capability got very dangerously concentrated in just one part of the world [Taiwan]. So it was critically important that, with the President's leadership, we finally took action. And the work that the Commerce Department has done to get those manufacturing incentives out, I think they've done a terrific job. One of the main beneficiaries so far of the CHIPS Act has been Intel. There's varying degrees of confidence in whether it is going to deliver on building a domestic chip supply chain in the way that the CHIPS Act intended. Is it risky to put a lot of eggs in one basket for one chip maker? I think the most important thing I see in terms of the industry with the CHIPS Act is that today we've got not just Intel, but TSMC, Samsung, SK Hynix and Micron. These are the five companies whose products and processes are at the most advanced nodes in semiconductor technology. They are all now building in the US. There's no other part of the world that's going to have all five of those. An industry is bigger than a company. I think when you look at the aggregate, that's a signal to me that we're on a very different track. You are the Presidents chief advisor for science and technology. I want to ask about the cultural authority that science has, or doesnt have, today. RFK Jr. is the pick for health secretary, and in some ways, he captures a lot of frustration that Americans have about our healthcare system. In other ways, he has many views that can only be described as anti-science. How do you reflect on the authority that science has now? I think it's important to recognize that we live in a time when trust in institutions has declined across the board, though trust in science remains relatively high compared with what's happened in other areas. But it's very much part of this broader phenomenon, and I think that the scientific community has some roles [to play] here. The fact of the matter is that despite America having the best biomedical research that the world has ever seen, we don't have robust health outcomes. Three dozen countries have longer life expectancies than America. That's not okay, and that disconnect between advancing science and changing people's lives is just not sustainable. The pact that science and technology and R&D makes with the American people is that if we make these public investments, it's going to improve people's lives and when that's not happening, it does erode trust. Is it fair to say that that gapbetween the expertise we have in the US and our poor health outcomesexplains some of the rise in conspiratorial thinking, in the disbelief of science? It leaves room for that. Then there's a quite problematic rejection of facts. It's troubling if you're a researcher, because you just know that whats being said is not true. The thing that really bothers me is [that the rejection of facts] changes people's lives, and it's extremely dangerous and harmful. Think about if we lost herd immunity for some of the diseases for which we right now have fairly high levels of vaccination. It was an ugly world before we tamed infectious disease with the vaccines that we have.
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  • Putin makes it official: Russia is all in on defense spending
    www.businessinsider.com
    Putin has signed off on a record defense budget for 2025 amid the ongoing Ukraine war.Defense spending will rise to 13.5 trillion rubles, making up a third of the country's budget.Russia's economy faces inflation and ruble decline, despite military-driven activities.Russian President Vladimir Putin has signed off a federal budget that will boost defense spending to a record level next year.The budget for 2025 will take the amount allocated for national defense to 13.5 trillion rubles, or $126.8 billion up from 10.8 trillion rubles in 2024.This means defense will make up 32.5% of Russia's federal budget next year, up from 28.3% this year.The budget was proposed in September and approved by Russian lawmakers over the last 10 days.Russia's record budget for its war in Ukraine comes as the conflict heads into its fourth year next February.Even though Western countries have unleashed a raft of sanctions against Russia over its invasion of Ukraine, Putin's regime is keeping Russia's economy afloat, with most activities driven by military activities.However, Russia's economy is under pressure, with wartime activities driving the economy so hot that inflation has spiked. That prompted Russia's central bank to start hiking its key interest rate, now at a record high of 21%.Last month, Russia's top central banker said the economy was at a "turning point," and that as inflation slows, she expects to cut the key interest rate.Meanwhile, the ruble has sunk to 32-month lows, signaling that all is not well in the Russian economy. Putin has told his countrymen not to panic about the decline in the ruble.Analysts at the Institute for the Study of War said on Sunday that the boost in Russia's defense spending doesn't necessarily mean that the country's military capabilities will increase because a significant amount of the budget will go toward benefits for soldiers, veterans, and their families."Russia's continued focus on defense spending is likely also affecting the effectiveness and sustainability of Russian social programs, which may affect the Kremlin's ability to sustain its war in Ukraine, given mounting pressures on the Russian economy and Putin's observed tendency to avoid risking his regime's stability," wrote the analysts in a note.'An absolutely unusual situation'A top Russian banker told Reuters late last week that the long-drawn war and the economic situation mean that Russia's economy is expected to slow next year."It is impossible for the economy to go through such events without consequences," Andrei Kostin, the CEO of VTB Russia's second-largest bank by assets told the news agency.Despite this, Russia's economy is "healthy," he added.Kostin said he expects Russia's GDP growth to slow to 1.9% in 2025 still above the International Monetary Fund's forecast of 1.3%. The IMF expects Russia's economy to grow 3.6% in 2024.Russia's economy ministry forecasts that the country's economy will grow by 3.9% this year and 2.5% next year."The war has been going on for almost three years, and a huge number of sanctions have been imposed. We are living in an absolutely unusual situation," Kostin told Reuters.
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  • Russia wants its pro-war bloggers to identify themselves by 2025. Only about 10% of its top channels are complying, analysis says.
    www.businessinsider.com
    Russia has been trying to get its big social media accounts to register with the government.But Kremlin-affiliated and pro-war accounts aren't playing ball, independent Russian media reported.A new analysis found that only 10 of the top 82 political pro-government Telegram channels had registered.Nearly 90% of Russia's top pro-war Telegram channels have been ignoring a government directive to identify themselves in an official registry, per an analysis by independent media outlet Vertska.The findings come four months after Russian leader Vladimir Putin signed a decree on August 8 for all owners of social media channels with 10,000 or more subscribers to disclose their data to the federal telecommunications regulator, Roskomnadzor.Should they fail to do so by January 1, 2025, the law says these channels will be blocked from advertising or raising funds from subscribers. The decree came into effect on November 1.Vertska reported on Monday that it analyzed the top 100 Russian political channels on Telegram and found 82 of them that were pro-government.According to Vertska, of those 82 pro-government channels, 72 had not registered with Roskomnadzor less than a month before the deadline.These include the Kremlin-affiliated blogger Rybar, Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov, and Operation Z, a group of war correspondents and bloggers.Politicians such as Dmitry Medvedev, deputy chairman of the Security Council, and Sergei Sobyanin, Moscow's mayor, were also among the top 100 political channels but have not registered, per Vertska.Notably, the Russian Defense Ministry's channel is also not registered, per Vertska.In an analysis published on Monday, the Washington-based think tank Institute for the Study of War wrote that these pro-war channels may have failed to register "possibly because they are already Kremlin-aligned and do not threaten the Kremlin's deserved control over public discourse in Russia."But the move was originally unpopular with pro-Kremlin military bloggers, who often maintain anonymity and sometimes post analyses and criticism of Russian war leaders.Some top voices said the decision would dull Russian analyses on Telegram, while others complained of "draconian" censorship and a possible decrease in war news shared via the platform."Russian Telegram will become censored and uninteresting," wrote Two Majors, a popular channel with nearly 1.2 million subscribers.Still, Vertska reported that several popular bloggers have registered with Roskomnadzor, including Boris Rozhin, who runs the channel "Colonel Cassad," and Dmitry Nikotin.Vyacheslav Volodin, the chairman of Russia's State Duma, runs the most popular registered channel. He is the country's eighth-most popular channel that discusses politics.Another Vertska analysis of the 32 top Telegram channels posting solely about the Ukraine war found that only eight, or a quarter of the total, were registered.Roskomnadzor did not respond to a request for comment sent outside regular business hours by Business Insider.Putin's decree on popular channels, which applies to platforms like VKontakte, Telegram, and TikTok, comes as Moscow has sought to exercise more control over mass communications channels since the onset of the Ukraine war.Russia has already blocked Western platforms like Facebook and X and has repeatedly been reported to have throttled connectivity to YouTube.In October, it also blocked the messaging and call platform Discord, sparking outcry from commentators who said the gaming comms tool was used by Russian units to coordinate drone operations in Ukraine.
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  • The Supreme Court seems likely to reverse a ridiculous decision about vaping
    www.vox.com
    On Monday, the Supreme Court held an ostentatiously normal oral argument in a high-stakes case about vaping. The bottom line is that the justices appear likely to reject an attempt to undermine the Food and Drug Administrations authority over nicotine vapes.The case is significant not because of what it means for the relationship between the FDA and tobacco companies, but what it portends about the future of American law. The question the Court considered on Monday has come before various lower court judges many times. And each time, the lower courts ruled in favor of the FDA except once. That one outlier decision was authored by Judge Andy Oldham, a Trump appointee who is widely considered a strong candidate for the Supreme Court in the incoming administration, should an opening arise.So, while the current panel of justices appears likely to follow existing law and back the FDA, that Mondays case exists at all suggests the Court could grow more friendly to attempts to sabotage agencies like the FDA if President-elect Donald Trump gets to fill more seats on the high Court.The case, known as FDA v. Wages and White Lion Investments, arises out of a 2009 law giving the FDA authority to regulate tobacco and other nicotine products. Because it took a long time for the FDA to start enforcing this law against vapes, many flavored vaping products are now widely available, but FDA has now begun the process of pulling those products from the market.Under the 2009 law, the FDA is supposed to ban all vaping products unless they are appropriate for the protection of the public health. Specifically, the FDA must weigh whether a particular vaping product is likely to cause more existing cigarette smokers to stop using such products, than it would cause new vapers to take up the habit and become addicted to nicotine.Armed with this statutory mandate, the FDA has approved some tobacco- and menthol-flavored vaping products, while rejecting products that are fruit, candy, or dessert-flavored. The idea is that vapes that taste similar to cigarettes are likely to appeal to adult smokers, while vapes that taste like cherries or cinnamon candy are more likely to appeal to teenagers who arent yet addicted to nicotine.White Lion involves two vaping companies that make products with flavors like Chewy Clouds Sour Grape, Killer Kustard, and Suicide Bunny Mothers Milk and Cookies. The FDA rejected these companies request to approve these teen-friendly products.Oldham and the tobacco companies behind the case both argued that the FDA engaged in regulatory switcheroos when it allegedly told vaping companies to submit one kind of evidence in their applications seeking approval of flavored vapes then rejected those applications for failing to provide a different kind of evidence. But only Justices Clarence Thomas and Samuel Alito appeared open to this argument.There is a minor side issue in the case that could give some of the justices a reason to rule against the FDA on very narrow grounds. But, for the most part, White Lion appears likely to end in a perfectly normal decision holding that the FDA, and not the courts (including judges like Oldham), gets to decide which vaping products are legal under the 2009 law.FDA v. Wages and White Lion Investments is not a hard caseThe FDA took a long time to roll out its regulations of flavored vapes. The law permitting it to regulate tobacco products at all is only 15 years old, and the FDA did not actually finalize its regulations governing vapes until 2016. Vaping companies were required to seek FDA approval of their products by September 9, 2020, or else those products would be immediately removed from the market. Companies that met the deadline received an additional grace period allowing them to sell their vapes while the FDA considered their application.The result was that, by the time FDA actually got around to denying many of those applications (and the FDA says it has denied applications to sell over 1 million different vaping products), there were plenty of companies already selling flavored vapes in the United States. Those companies filed a flurry of lawsuits once the FDA denied their applications.But, with one exception, every court to consider those lawsuits rejected them. Eight federal appeals courts heard these vaping cases, and seven of them rejected them in unanimous opinions. Only the United States Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit, the most right-wing of the federal circuits, bought the vaping companies arguments. This is part of a pattern in the Fifth Circuit. The courts judges Oldham in particular have consistently handed down decisions undermining federal agencies ability to function, often relying on arguments that have no support in actual law.Related:The Trumpiest court in AmericaIt was pretty clear during Mondays White Lion oral argument that the arguments against FDA are weak and imprecise. Oldhams primary argument against the FDA was that the agency changed its requirements for product approval. Oldham claims the agency first told vaping companies they are not required to conduct two specific kinds of experiments randomized controlled trials and longitudinal cohort studies and then rejected applications to sell certain vapes because they did not include these kinds of studies.But thats not what happened. What the FDA actually said was that the companies could have submitted these kinds of studies, but it would also consider other evidence suggesting that a particular vaping product was likely to benefit the public health.Indeed, many of the justices appeared baffled by the suggestion that FDA changed its position during the long approval process. Im not really seeing what the surprise is here, or what the change is here, Justice Elena Kagan told Eric Heyer, the lawyer for the vaping companies. Justice Sonia Sotomayor said shes at a loss trying to understand how the FDA switched its position.Meanwhile, several of the Courts Republicans also seemed skeptical of Oldham and the vaping companies arguments. Justice Brett Kavanaugh, for example, expressed confusion about why the case is in federal court in the first place. As he pointed out, the vaping companies seek a court order requiring the FDA to reconsider their applications. But, as Kavanaugh noted, the companies are already allowed to reapply for approval in the event of a rejection. So what, exactly, he asked, is the legal issue the courts need to decide?Similarly, Justice Amy Coney Barrett criticized Oldhams conclusion that ambiguous statements by the FDA must be construed against the agency, at one point asking Heyer how that rule could possibly work if applied broadly.There is one side issue in the case that could cause a headache for the FDA. In their applications, the vaping companies were supposed to lay out what safeguards they had in place such as requiring retail sellers of vapes to check IDs to prevent young people from buying nicotine products. The FDA admits it did not even bother to evaluate these sections of many vaping companies applications, and the government doesnt really defend its non-action on these sections of the applications.Instead, the government claims its error was harmless, because the applications would have been denied anyway because the FDA had already denied other applications proposing similar safeguards against youth vaping.A few justices suggested that maybe the case should be sent back to the FDA to give them an opportunity to evaluate these applications in full. But that suggestion seemed to lose steam as the argument proceeded. Even Justice Neil Gorsuch, who often votes with the Courts rightmost flank, at one point seemed to agree with the government that it is obvious the FDA will just deny the applications again if the case is sent back to them.That said, if any part of this case is sent back to the FDA, the agency will take up the question of flavored vapes under a new Trump administration and Heyer was quite honest about the fact that his clients are hoping they would get a new result from a Republican-run FDA.But, as Kavanaugh pointed out, nothing prevents the vaping companies from reapplying for approval under the Trump administration anyway. So, if Trump and his subordinates are determined to legalize flavored vapes, they will potentially have an opportunity to do so no matter what the Court does in White Lion.In any event, it seems very unlikely that the Court will sign onto Oldhams approach, or hand down a broad decision disabling the FDA. For now, at least, there appears to be some daylight between the median justice on the Supreme Court, and the most extreme elements within the judiciary.Youve read 1 article in the last monthHere at Vox, we're unwavering in our commitment to covering the issues that matter most to you threats to democracy, immigration, reproductive rights, the environment, and the rising polarization across this country.Our mission is to provide clear, accessible journalism that empowers you to stay informed and engaged in shaping our world. By becoming a Vox Member, you directly strengthen our ability to deliver in-depth, independent reporting that drives meaningful change.We rely on readers like you join us.Swati SharmaVox Editor-in-ChiefSee More:
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  • Nostalgia wont fix the loneliness epidemic
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    A year after graduating from college, Chi was adrift. Shed gone from a life of structure to one without guardrails and her mental health was declining. As a result, she distanced herself from friends and family. She left her job as a peer facilitator at a support group for people with depression and bipolar disorder and lived in an apartment and neighborhood with people she didnt know. I was very, very lonely, says Chi, whose last name is being withheld so she could speak freely about her mental health. [I] was trying to figure out how would I structure my days. Where could I be? Who could I talk to?In the past, a friend had suggested Fountain House, a national mental health nonprofit that offers clinical support, housing resources, care management, and work programs for people experiencing serious mental illness, based in a physical location known as a clubhouse. Not only could Chi get help finding work or housing, but shed also volunteer alongside other Fountain House members to keep the place running a cornerstone of the clubhouse model, which Fountain House originated in the 1940s. (Membership is free and work is performed on a volunteer basis without pay.) Shed have a community and some structure once again.In her 13 years as a Fountain House member, Chi has been a tutor, organized cultural heritage days, and led racial equity, diversity, and gender initiatives. I feel like Im a person of integrity and a person of importance at Fountain House, Chi says. At the time when I was coming into Fountain House and really struggling with loneliness and just feeling really lost, Fountain House has been a place where I have felt found.While Fountain Houses model is geared toward the needs of those with mental illness, its methods for curbing loneliness are far more widely applicable in the midst of an ongoing loneliness epidemic that touches old and young, people of all genders, the married and unpartnered. It goes to show that while simply being around people is great, being in a community youve willingly opted into, where you matter to others, and where you find a sense of purpose regardless of mental health is even better. And its an ingredient thats often conspicuously missing in discussing solutions to the burgeoning crisis.A nostalgic slate of solutions In his 2023 advisory on loneliness and isolation, US Surgeon General Vivek Murthy suggests increased access to volunteer groups and religious organizations. The political scientist and author of Bowling Alone Robert Putnam says to join a club. The Institute for Family Studies sings the praises of marriage and family. Introduce yourself to your neighbors, advises the National Institute on Aging. In other words, many of our leading authorities on loneliness suggest a nostalgic slate of solutions that hark back to a time when neighbors freely mingled and religious institutions provided a social and moral compass. This perspective, of course, flattens history, and fails to account for the ways that racism, segregation, homophobia, and other acceptable forms of exclusion often kept marginalized people deeply isolated (in even more acute ways than it does today).Its a distorted view of the past, says Richard Weissbourd, a senior lecturer at the Harvard Graduate School of Education and director of the Making Caring Common Project, an organization that provides research-backed resources for moral and emotional health. Some of those forms of closeness were not, in fact, as simple and nourishing as people imagine them to be.Nostalgia-focused guidance also fails to account for modern ways of living. While many people still live near their hometowns, others leave for college and work, and are separated from their family support networks if theyre emotionally close to their family at all. Smartphones, social media, endless forms of entertainment, and self-care are designed to keep us engaged and isolated. The rise of therapy-speak has helped create a social ecosystem in which people are focused on their own comfort over the well-being of others. Chance encounters with strangers are less likely given the ascent of self-checkout and remote work. To move through the world in a way that fosters connection is a choiceAmericans also spend less time engaged in social activities and leisure. The 2023 American Time Use Survey from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics found that Americans spent less than five hours a day on activities like watching TV, reading, and relaxing, and even less time fewer than 30 minutes each day socializing. While Americans spend about eight hours a day at work, most are not devoting their free time to pursuits that would imbue meaning and belonging. Those who feel alienated cant be forced to join a club or ditch their phones or ascribe to a religious identity in order to help them feel more connected. Some may have a desire to be socially engaged, but dont have access to places like Fountain House or other affirming clubs in their communities. But there are ways to find meaningful connection even in a modern, digitally connected world. Despite its seemingly classic approach to connection, Fountain House has zeroed in on something crucial people dont just need social connections; they need meaningful ones, too.What prevents connection?The issue in our modern loneliness conundrum isnt with the number of relationships people have, but their quality. A recent study found that 75 percent of respondents were satisfied with the number of friends they had, but 40 percent wanted to be closer to them. Over a third of Weissbourds participants in a 2020 survey on loneliness said they felt lonely because no one took the time to meaningfully ask them how they were; 42 percent said they wished they had more people who cared about them outside of family.If Americans recognize they desire more quality connections, what holds people back from seeking them out? In a word, Weissbourd says, individualism. In the 1950s, American society was composed of social conformists people who wanted to fit in publicly, but in private, desired personal freedom to live, worship, and speak as they choose. By the ensuing decades, individualism morphed from these personal freedoms into placing a premium on ones uniqueness and personal choice. An increased interest in personal success, safety, and physical and mental well-being, in turn, breeds an internally focused culture. If youre spending so much time trying to further your own pursuits, or thinking about yourself, you might fail to see the value in activities that require another person: friendship, service, club membership. This self-absorption can lead to anxiety, research suggests, which prevents people from reaching out in the first place out of a fear of rejection. The possibility of discomfort is par for the course when interacting with others, says Daniel Maitland, an associate professor of clinical psychology at the University of Missouri-Kansas City. But being too in your head because you dont want to offend or be offended, hurt, or rejected prevents people from being vulnerable. Getting out of our comfort zone is essential to forming connection, he says. For many, the costs of social interaction start to outweigh the benefits.People underestimate, potentially, how much value [social] groups might have for them, says Louise Hawkley, a principal research scientist at NORC, a nonpartisan research organization at the University of Chicago. Helping your sister with child care, attending a block party, or catching up with a friend could carry too high a likelihood of social exhaustion, awkwardness, and conflict.To move through the world in a way that fosters connection is a choice, says Nicholas Epley, a professor of behavioral science at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business a choice you can make every day, even if you dont belong to a church or book club. People inherently understand the value of sociality, he says, but some fail to make the decision to chat with people in their orbit. Its easy to look at your phone while in the elevator its a little harder to take a leap and introduce yourself to a new neighbor or colleague.These seemingly inconsequential encounters have value. Meaningful conversations can come from everyday interactions and maintaining relationships with people of varying levels of closeness, from stranger to closest confidante, known as relational diversity improves well-being. Taking advantage of ordinary moments of connection may help promote more social engagement, Epley says. Start to notice where you could engage with others at the grocery store, for instance and the barriers holding you back your phone. Small choices can have a big impact. I, for instance, dont keep my phone in my pocket ever unless Im supposed to talk to somebody, he says. I have it in my backpack. That just makes it easier for me to engage with other people when theyre around.Finding a way back to each otherThe struggle for meaningful relationships stems from a general sense of purposelessness, feelings of helplessness and hopelessness, of fear. When you feel that way, Weissbourd says, you have greater needs from your connection.Family, career, and faith (as well as money) still remain common drivers of meaning, but some measures suggest these tent poles of connection are diminishing in significance. Americans are delaying marriage and child-rearing if they decide to do so at all. The rise of parental estrangement signals historically traditional familial roles no longer serve adult children. Gen Z and millennials increasingly disentangle their identities from their work. Most Americans agree religion has less of an influence on their lives and they arent happy about it.The key to why these traditional forms of connection, like bowling leagues and religious institutions, were so effective at abating loneliness isnt because they simply brought people together, but that participants derived meaning from them. Without it, theyre not likely to stay engaged and keep coming back. But the goal shouldnt be to compel people to take part in these traditions; its for those who are adrift to find something that fills the void, that imbues meaning. Volunteerism serves such a purpose for many people, Weissbourd says. Having a clear role and a shared goal is what Fountain House members say helps them stay connected and mentally well. If personal motivations arent enough to spur lonely people into action, perhaps theyre more likely to engage under doctors orders. One promising solution that doesnt just tell people to go back to the imagined past is a burgeoning social prescription movement, which aims to connect patients with community volunteering, art, and movement groups. In the UK, where social prescribing is integrated into the national health care system, more than 2.5 million people have been referred by health professionals to a social prescribing link worker who connects those who are lonely, as well as those with chronic or mental health conditions, to social groups. The goal, says Julia Hotz, author of The Connection Cure: The Prescriptive Power of Movement, Nature, Art, Service, and Belonging, is to find an activity that patients actually want to do. Instead of focusing on just whats the matter with you, she says, it asks what matters to you. Because if a physician socially prescribes an art class to someone who really wants to ride a bike, Im probably going to choose staying home scrolling my feed, Hotz says.Instead of focusing on just whats the matter with you, social prescribing asks what matters to youTaking part in a meaningful activity with other people is usually compelling enough for participants to keep their phones out of sight, Hotz says. The mutual buy-in from fellow foragers or crocheters creates a system of support: If you miss a session, group members will notice your absence. Over time, you start to suspect that not only does the work youre doing matter, but you matter, too.The US medical system is slowly integrating social prescribing programs. In Massachusetts, doctors at Mass General Brigham can prescribe arts and culture events to patients. The Cleveland Clinic launched a social prescribing model for geriatric patients. Horizon Blue Cross Blue Shield of New Jersey members and Rutgers University Newark students can get six months of free art prescriptions, the first insurer-involved social prescribing program in the country.But lack of access shouldnt prevent people from socially prescribing for themselves, Hotz says. She suggests thinking back on activities, perhaps during childhood, that brought you joy or flow or something you have a deep interest in. Are there any local organizations or events dedicated to that practice? Hotz acknowledges that some communities will have more to offer than others, but she typically relies on Google, library and park websites, and word of mouth to find social clubs. The process of finding a group you enjoy and connect with is time intensive. And given the plethora of demands in this modern world work at all hours, intensive parenting, other forms of caregiving it can be a challenge to even find a second to mine your desires in the first place. Virtual groups can also be sources of meaning. During the pandemic, Fountain House members performed their work assignments exclusively online. Even now, Chi says she begins her day at Fountain House over Zoom before heading into the clubhouse. Online communities have been essential for young LGBTQ people and those with physical disabilities to find affirming support.Central to these caring, meaningful communities is a sense of belonging that members are seen as essential to the groups functioning. Vulnerability is the vehicle, according to Maitland, the psychology professor, to open up to others, even if its potentially uncomfortable. Quality relationships can blossom because of, and in spite of, this digitally-connected world. Its a comfort then that despite all the forces shaping collective values and priorities, having a purpose and being seen for who you are is what fosters community. Maybe the impulse isnt toward nostalgic forms of connection, but for timeless ways of relating. Youve read 1 article in the last monthHere at Vox, we're unwavering in our commitment to covering the issues that matter most to you threats to democracy, immigration, reproductive rights, the environment, and the rising polarization across this country.Our mission is to provide clear, accessible journalism that empowers you to stay informed and engaged in shaping our world. By becoming a Vox Member, you directly strengthen our ability to deliver in-depth, independent reporting that drives meaningful change.We rely on readers like you join us.Swati SharmaVox Editor-in-ChiefSee More:
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