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Trump hates wind energy. Here, his supporters love it.
If you drive across Iowa, youâll probably notice two things aside from the many farms: Trump signs and wind turbines.Iowa is Trump country. While the state was once considered politically purple, it decisively supported President Donald Trump in 2016, in 2020, and in 2024, when Trump won in 94 of Iowaâs 99 counties. Iowaâs governor and two senators are also Republicans, and, after some early friction, have fallen in line with Trump. Iowa is also a wind energy powerhouse. A remarkable 59 percent of the stateâs energy in 2023 came from wind turbines, a larger share than any other state in the country. Texas is the only state that produces more wind energy than Iowa, though wind power makes up a much smaller portion of the Lone Star Stateâs energy mix. Wind turbines are now so common in Iowa that they appear on the stateâs regular license plates. Related404 Not Found | VoxAt face value, wind energy and Trump donât mix. Many of his supporters downplay or disregard climate science showing that fossil fuels are warming the planet far faster than it would naturally â a key fact underlying the value of wind energy and other power sources that donât have significant carbon emissions. In some cases, Trump supporters, including Robert F. Kennedy Jr., also help elevate unproven claims that offshore wind turbines are killing whales.Annick Sjobakken for VoxTrump himself, meanwhile, is the most anti-wind-energy president in history. Heâs been bad-mouthing wind power for over a decade, often relying on similarly spurious claims. âWeâre not going to do the wind thing,â Trump said in a speech on Inauguration Day. âBig, ugly wind mills. They ruin your neighborhood.â And Trump has already made policy moves intended to slow growth in the sector â causing some developers to halt or totally abandon projects.On one hand, Iowa is a test case for the staying power of renewable energy. Wind farms have expanded in the state not because of climate concerns but because of economics. Wind energy is cheap in Iowa.But Iowa also highlights an important disconnect that exists across the country â between the anti-climate, âdrill, baby, drillâ rhetoric that helped get Trump elected and the reality facing much of his base living in states that benefit from renewable energy. The economics of wind energy are incredibly strong, experts told me, so the industry wonât just disappear. But Trumpâs energy policies, if successful, could have harmful consequences for Republican strongholds like Iowa. A question now is if conservatives who rely on wind energy push back, will Trump soften his anti-wind stance? How wind took over Iowa, a Republican strongholdIf you want to learn about wind energy in Iowa, the person to talk to is Tom Wind. (Yes, his name is literally Tom Wind, and yes, people point it out a lot to him.) Heâs a crop farmer and electrical engineer in Iowa whoâs been working in the sector â first at a utility, then as a consultant, and now as a wind-farm manager â for decades.There are several reasons for Iowaâs ascendency to wind dominance, Wind told me. The simplest reason is that Iowa is windy. And while some Great Plains states like Nebraska and Kansas are technically windier, Iowa is closer to big population centers, like Chicago, that need lots of power.Annick Sjobakken for VoxIowa was also quick to adopt policies that benefited wind and other renewables. In fact, Iowa was the first state in the country to establish whatâs called a renewable portfolio standard (RPS), in 1983. It required the stateâs investor-owned utilities to contract out or own at least 105 megawatts of renewable energy, which is enough to power tens of thousands of homes. Iowa reached that goal by 1999, Wind said. When the RPS was enacted, the state legislature was run by Democrats, though it still wasnât that controversial: Iowa lawmakers, including Republican Gov. Terry Branstad, saw an opportunity to make Iowa more energy independent in the wake of the 1970s energy crisis (an actual crisis, by the way, not the manufactured energy emergency Trump has conjured). The state has also never had a large fossil-fuel industry to lobby against pro-renewable legislation, Wind said.Later, state and especially federal tax incentives for renewable energy further propelled wind to dominance in Iowa. In the â90s, Iowa Sen. Chuck Grassley, a Republican, helped establish a federal tax credit for building wind farms. That ultimately helped earn Grassley the title of âfatherâ of Iowa wind energy.MidAmerican Energy Company, the largest electric utility in Iowa and a subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway Energy, was especially hungry for tax credits, Wind said, and has since built out an enormous amount of wind energy. (In reporting this story, Vox reached out to several Republican politicians and energy authorities in the state. Branstad, Grassleyâs office, MidAmerican, and Berkshire Hathaway Energy all declined interview requests. Sen. Joni Ernst and Gov. Kim Reynolds did not respond to interview requests.)The stateâs many farmers â a core section of Iowaâs economy that maintains a lot of political power â have also helped the wind industry take off. Farmers across Iowa have put turbines on their land as a way to earn more income. While crop prices and yields are volatile and at the whims of natural disasters, wind turbines offer a relatively stable source of revenue, on the scale of thousands of dollars per year, per turbine.Dave Johnson, a farmer who earns money from the turbine located on his property in Riceville, Iowa. Annick Sjobakken for VoxâItâs a real blessing for us,â said Dave Johnson, a livestock farmer in northern Iowa who leases his land to a utility that installed four turbines on his property. He earns about $30,000 a year from the four turbines combined, he told Vox. Johnsonâs son also has turbines on his farm. Johnson, a Republican who says he voted for Trump, had the turbines installed primarily because he wanted his farm â where he raises cattle and hogs â to generate more value. âI never had a 401(k),â he said. âI farmed and stuck everything back into the farm. This is the 401(k) that I never had.â Fred Koschmeder, a corn and soybean farmer near Johnsonâs farm, also has turbines on his land. âI donât even look at it as a political thing,â Koschmeder, who also says he voted for Trump, said of wind energy. âIt is economic development. If youâve got a chance to participate in something that brings value, I think youâre kind of foolish not to do it. ⊠It adds a lot of value to your farm and extra income, too.âFarming in Iowa has become more economically challenging in recent years, as the price of some crops like soybeans have dipped, and farm costs, such as tractor repairs, have spiked due to inflation. Climate change is also raising the risk of drought and flooding, according to government and academic researchers. Wind energy âis allowing farmers to stay on the farm,â Johnson said. âThat helps rural America.âAnnick Sjobakken for VoxAnnick Sjobakken for VoxBut even if youâre not a farmer, you likely benefit from wind turbines if you live in Iowa, said Steve Guyer, senior energy policy counsel at Iowa Environmental Council, a nonprofit green group. The state has stable energy bills that tend to be well below the national average in cost. Onshore wind is the cheapest source of energy with or without tax credits, as of 2024, according to the financial firm Lazard.âAll customers benefit from it,â said Guyer, who formerly worked for utilities in Iowa. âAlthough other costs may rise over time, the cost of the wind actually remains stable or lowers. When we factor that into the overall utility bill, it at least stabilizes the bill.âThe wind industry also employs roughly 4,000 people across the state and draws billions of dollars in capital investments. Plus, itâs the No. 1 taxpayer in a third of Iowa counties, according to Mak Heddens, who runs a group called Power Up Iowa, a coalition of clean energy companies in Iowa.While wind energy projects have faced fierce opposition in several counties â anti-wind advocates often rely on misinformation to argue that turbines harm wildlife and threaten human health â the industry is popular on the whole. This likely has little to do with politics or concerns about climate change. People across the political spectrum like wind energy because itâs cheap, local, and generates money for the stateâs economy. These are things Republicans really care about, said James McCalley, an electrical engineer and wind energy expert at Iowa State University. (McCalley identifies as Republican.)âWeâre a red state, and weâve embraced it, and Iâm proud of that,â said Brent Siegrist, a Republican state representative in the western Iowaâs Pottawattamie County, where a large wind farm produces enough electricity to power up to 122,000 homes. âMaybe itâs the commonsense approach of Iowans: We need energy, and if we can do it renewably â and itâs not costing us a fortune â why wouldnât we do it?âAre Iowa Republicans worried?Thereâs no doubt that wind energy is a massive part of Iowaâs economy â powering the bulk of homes and businesses in the state â and a boon to residents. Yet people who support Trump often donât see his anti-wind position as much of a threat or expect it to shift. Johnson, the livestock farmer, says he doesnât pay close attention to Trumpâs comments on wind energy. âI know he just shoots his mouth off,â Johnson said. When asked about real policies Trump has put in place, including an executive order that pauses new approvals for wind projects, Johnson said heâs not worried because wind energy has a lot of support, even among Republicans. Siegrist, meanwhile, downplayed how much Iowa depends on wind energy, mentioning that the state still uses coal. And while Siegrist doesnât think the federal government should be controlling what happens to wind development within states, heâs not worried about Trumpâs anti-wind statements. âIâve got enough things to do in Iowa to worry about Washington, DC,â he told me. Annick Sjobakken for VoxPaul Roeder, a Republican who owns a handful of wind turbines in Iowa, is similarly untroubled by the administrationâs position. âIâm not so much worried about politics as I am about some of the other external factors that drive the price of energy,â Roeder told me. âThe president doesnât drive the price of energy.â Roeder says he voted for Trump but not because of the presidentâs stance on renewable energy. This raises a key point: Many Republicans support renewable energy, and they may even worry about carbon emissions, but energy simply isnât as salient for them as other issues, such as immigration. That helps explain how someone like Grassley â the father of Iowa wind energy, remember â is a Trump ally, even though heâs previously called Trumpâs comments about wind energy âidiotic.â Annick Sjobakken for VoxItâs also worth pointing out that, more generally, people donât often think about where their energy comes, as long as their lights turn on and their bills arenât surging. I grew up in Iowa and have visited at least once a year since. But it wasnât until recently â through my environmental reporting â that I realized how important wind energy is to the state. So itâs not shocking that Iowanâs donât connect their energy to Trump. âThey donât necessarily make the connection to what the president is saying,â said Bob Keefe, executive director of E2, an association of business leaders, many of whom work in the clean energy industry.But there is real cause for concern. The strong economics of wind energy â what allowed turbines to proliferate in a conservative state â persist today, and so itâs reasonable to expect that the sector will still grow. Yet policies from the Trump administration could seriously dent the industry across the country, including in Iowa. On his first day in office, Trump signed an executive order that aimed to curtail growth of the wind-energy industry. Among other things, it directed agencies to pause new and renewed federal approvals and leases for both onshore and offshore wind projects. Since Trumpâs executive order from January 20, the administration has put in place or threatened additional tariffs on countries, such as China, that would substantially raise the cost of onshore turbines, some of which are manufactured in Iowa. Even turbines that are manufactured locally are typically built with at least some foreign parts.âThere is a certain level of nervousness in the market,â Manav Sharma, North America division CEO for Nordex Group, a wind turbine manufacturer that has a production facility in Iowa, told KCRG.In a statement, Alliant Energy, the third-largest utility owner and operator of regulated wind energy in the US, according to the company, said it will âcontinue to monitor the Trump Administration executive orders on national energy policy.â TPI Composites, a global company that manufactures wind turbine blades in Iowa, declined an interview request. Some wind advocates and lawmakers â including some conservatives â are also worried that the Republican-controlled Congress may stamp out tax incentives for clean energy that are part of former President Joe Bidenâs Inflation Reduction Act (IRA). Those incentives have largely benefitted Republican districts but are at risk of getting cut as Trump has vowed to repeal the IRA. âI think the subsidies are the biggest issue,â Ernie Goss, an economist at Creighton University who specializes in the Midwest, told Vox. âIf they are reduced, will wind energy survive?â Annick Sjobakken for VoxAnnick Sjobakken for VoxEven if tax credits remain, the Trump administration may still weaken incentives, such as through efforts to shrink the IRS. âWhat could also happen is they cut the IRS workforce,â Wind said, adding that applications to get tax credits have to go through the agency. âIf you start losing employees, things start slowing down. It just gets harder to do business with the IRS.âThese concerns are especially pressing today as Iowa becomes a hot spot for energy-intensive data centers in step with the AI boom. It will need more energy quickly. Google, Meta, and Microsoft are all building out or operating data centers in the state, in part, because the state has affordable energy.Policies from the administration that harm renewable energy stand to harm Iowa, said Keefe of E2. This is true whether or not you care about climate change. âYou donât do this kind of damage to an industry, you donât spin off this kind of market uncertainty, and things will be okay,â Keefe said. âThe only way theyâre going to be okay is if businesses and consumers stand up and demand that their lawmakers not take an energy source away from them that happens to be the cheapest energy we can develop right now.ââIf I was one of those thousands of Iowans that work in the wind industry, or if I had family that worked in the industry, I would be calling my lawmaker today and saying, âHey, recognize the risks that you are putting my community at â my family, these jobs, our economy,ââ he said.See More:
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